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BCS Projections

 

The BCS National Championship trophy is on everyone’s wish list

Well everyone, we’re ten weeks into the season and the bowl games are approaching. Although the regular season is about three fourths of the way over, there is plenty of times for teams to make or break their chances at a BCS bowl game appearance.¬†While I am one of the many college football fans who opposes the BCS and would much rather have a playoff (this year would be the best for it), we’re stuck with the current structure. So let’s take a look at the projections I have laid out. Rankings indicate the team’s ranking in the BCS poll/my poll.

Discover Orange Bowl
#10/7 Florida State vs. #4/4 Notre Dame
The Seminoles look like they’ll finish the year with just the loss to NC State and a possible fall to Florida at home. Even if Florida State falls to the Gators they will still take the ACC thanks to their win against Clemson. While Notre Dame has National Title aspirations, there are three teams better than them in college football this year, so unfortunately for the Irish they will be playing in the first of two BCS games in Miami. This would be a match-up of historic programs who have both had a lot of success this year. In what should be a defensive battle, Florida State’s offense has a slight edge over the Irish. This one would come down to which Notre Dame team shows up, the one who won at Oklahoma 30-13 or the one who edged out Pitt in triple overtime, 29-26.

Rose Bowl Game presented by Vizio
#3/2 Oregon vs. #16/16 Nebraska
While I have Oregon in place to play in the National Championship Game in my poll, they currently sit third in the BCS. Nebraska sees themselves getting into this spot because they won’t have to play Ohio State in the conference title game. Oregon has the speed to completely expose a Big Ten defense such as Nebraska’s and this one really could be over quickly. If Oregon did move into the title game, look for an at-large team like UCLA, Stanford or Oregon State to represent the Pac-12, depending on how the rest of the regular season goes.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
#12/12 Oklahoma vs. #9/9 Louisville
Even in what their fans would consider a “down” year, the Sooners are still in place to go 10-2, lose only one conference game and make it to a BCS bowl game. Louisville, on the other hand, has played extremely well this year and is a surprising 9-0 team out of the Big East. While the strength of schedule is nowhere close for the Cardinals to make it to the title game, they won’t be a push over. Louisville could definitely give Oklahoma a fight and maybe even win. Look for Rutgers to be in this spot if they defeat Louisville on the final day of the season.

Allstate Sugar Bowl
#5/5 Georgia vs. #13/10 Clemson
Georgia had an embarrassing loss to South Carolina earlier in the season but thanks to a win over Florida and a little help from LSU, the ‘Dawgs look like they’ll finish first in the East. The one problem with that is depending on how well they play against Alabama, they might or might not make it to the Sugar Bowl. Clemson has been perfect this year, if you exclude the early loss at Florida State. The Tigers still have their traditional high powered offense and could put up a fight against any SEC foe. If Georgia doesn’t make it to this game, look for either Florida, South Carolina or LSU to represent the conference.

Discover BCS National Championship Game
#1/1 Alabama vs. #2/3 Kansas State
Alabama has been dubbed by many as the best team in ages this season. The Crimson Tide have stormed over opponents every week, with the exception of their comeback 21-17 win at LSU. Kansas State is a team who was ranked at the beginning of the season but slept on by many. The Wildcats have not only remained unbeaten, but they’ve looked very impressive doing it. While I personally would put Oregon in this game, I don’t know if the Ducks will be able to pass K-State in the computer rankings. Although I do think Alabama would dominate this one, we’d be crazy to underestimate Bill Snyder and Collin Klein.

Remember everyone, these are just projections. There is still plenty of time left in the season for changes in computer polls, human polls and the almighty BCS rankings. All we have to do is sit back and watch the story unfold.

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